ANALYSIS OF THE ECOLOGICAL STATE OF THE CITY OF KRASNOYARSK AND ASSESSMENT OF ITS IMPACT ON THE REAL ESTATE MARKET

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Ольга Игоревна, Иванова Сергей Викторович Евтушенко

Abstract

The article analyzes the relationship between changes in real estate prices in the districts of the city of Krasnoyarsk and changes in the concentration of the atmospheric air pollutant PM2.5, which is present in almost all districts of the city. The meteorological conditions under which the processes of dispersion of harmful impurities in the atmosphere are difficult are called the black sky mode. This phenomenon is associated with the geographical location of the city of Krasnoyarsk, man-made factors and manifests itself in frosty, hot and windless weather. Black sky mode in g. Krasnoyarsk has been introduced since 2012, the number of days in this period was 43. The record for air pollution over the city was broken in 2015, the period lasted 70 days. In these unfavorable periods, there is most often a strong smog over the city, visibility decreases. The purpose of this study is to analyze the environmental condition in the districts of the city of Krasnoyarsk and assess its impact on the real estate market. In the course of the study, the industrial enterprises of the city of Krasnoyarsk, whose activities are accompanied by atmospheric air pollution, are considered. The concentration of PM2.5 pollution in the city districts for 2019 was estimated. The information on the cost of real estate in the districts of Krasnoyarsk for 2019 is analyzed. The study used the method of analysis, using multiple correlation and regression analysis of the values of the concentration of the atmospheric air pollutant PM2.5, and real estate prices in the districts of the city of Krasnoyarsk, calculated the Fechner coefficient, and evaluated the strength of the relationship of variables on the Cheddock scale. As a result of the analysis of the obtained data, it was found that the excess of the concentration of the atmospheric air pollutant PM2.5 during the study period does not significantly affect the change in real estate prices in the city of Krasnoyarsk. The atmospheric air pollutant PM2.5 does not make a significant contribution to the price change, which means that it is not a factor that will be taken into account by most buyers when making a decision to buy a property.

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