EURASIAN ECONOMIC UNION INTEGRATION AS ADAPTATION EFFECT IN AGRO-FOOD TRADE
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Jun 27, 2018
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Abstract
The paper is devoted to the analysis of agro-food trade development prospects and problems in Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) of Russia, Kazakhstan, Belarus and Armenia. It suggests the method for estimation of integration processes in the trade of agricultural and food products. The article gives the scenario forecasts for export of meat, milk, grains, oilseeds, vegetable oils, sugar from EAEC member states. Evaluation of the integration effect is made on the difference between the forecasts and inertial integration scenarios.
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References
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Forecasting System for the EEU. (2016).
Dillen, K. The Russian ban on EU agricultural imports: A bilateral extension of AGLINK-COSIMO.
Long-term forecast of economic development of the Eurasian Economic Union till 2030. (2015)
Havlik, P. (2015) Challenges of European, Eurasian and a wider European Integration in View of Ukraine‘s Crisis. Conference „Europe current evolution“ Prague.
Romanenko, I.A., N.E. Evdokimova National module of the international system of models AGLINK-COSIMO // INFO-2015. 2015. Т. 1, pp. 590-592.
Siptits, S.O. and al (2009). In A. A. Nikonov (Ed.), Long-term forecasts of the development of agricultural markets in Russia (Vol. 26).
Siptits, S.O. (2010) Theoretical and methodological aspects of evaluating the performance of the integrated food markets, Nikon read. 16: 6-9.
Siptits, S.O., I.A. Romanenko, N.E. Evdokimova (2013) Methods of assessing the interstate integration processes in agrarian and industrial complex on an example of the CU, Problems in the agricultural market. – 1: 9-15.
Siptits, S.O., N.E. Evdokimova Stability of food security and food self-sufficiency in terms of the Customs Union. // The agrarian sector of Russia in the conditions of international sanctions: Challenges and Responses. Moscow: RGAU - ICCA, 2015. - P. 209-216.
System analysis and macroeconomic forecasting of the EEU. (2016).
System of Indicators of Eurasian Integration 2009. (2010).
Astrov, P., P. Havlik, O. Pindyuk (2012). Trade Integration in the CIS: Alternate Options, Economic Effects and Policy Implications for Belarus, Kazakhstan, Russia and Ukraine, wiiw Research Reports 381, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
Voronov, V.V., O.J. Lavrinenko, Y.V. Stashane (2014) Assessment of the dynamics of regional disparities (European experience) // Sociological researches, 2014. № 1: 29-39.