THE IMPACT OF THE "GRAIN DEAL" ON GLOBAL FOOD COMMODITIES EXPORTS: NORTHERN BLACK SEA REGION CASE (ROMANIA, RUSSIA, UKRAINE)

Main Article Content

Владислав Лукиан

Abstract

The conflict in the neighboring state proved to be a significant barrier and shock for all global food markets. Commodity indexes and prices have been systematically breaking records. Threat of famine in the poorest African countries, as well as violation of food commodities import quota in the Maghreb and Arab states now pose another challenge to global security. Geopolitical tensions in the Northern Black Sea region (Romania, Russia, Ukraine) have greatly affected the usual course of commodities shipments within maritime supply chains, mainly of wheat and corn. As a subject of international law, the United Nations actively participated in resolving the food supply crisis with the mediation of Turkey. It also contributed to the signing of the so-called "grain deal" between the Russian Federation and the Ukraine. Has the "grain deal" affected economic development, export potential, logistics, and living in Russia, Romania, and the Ukraine?

Article Details

Section
Agricultural economics and policies

References

1. [1] World Bank. 2020b. Commodities Market Outlook: Implications of COVID-19 for Commodities. April, pp. 92-94, Washington, DC: World Bank.
2. [2] World Bank. 2022. Global Economic Prospects. January. pp. 129, Washington, DC: World Bank.
3. [3] World Bank. 2022. Commodities Market Outlook: Urbanization and Commodity Demand. June, pp. 34-35, Washington, DC: World Bank.
4. [4] World Bank. 2022a. Commodities Market Outlook: Persistence of Commodity Shocks. October, pp. 12, Washington, DC: World Bank.
5. [5] «Черный лебедь» в белой маске. Аналитический доклад НИУ ВШЭ к годовщине пандемии COVID-19 / под ред. С. М. Плаксина, А. Б. Жулина, С. А Фаризовой ; Нац. исслед. ун-т «Высшая школа экономики». - М.: Изд. дом Высшей школы экономики, 2021. - 336 с. - 600 экз. - ISBN 978-57598-2500-5 (в обл.). - ISBN 978-5-7598-2259-2 (e-book)
6. [6] Teulings, C., and N. Zubanov. 2014. “Is Economic Recovery a Myth? Robust Estimation of Impulse Responses.” Journal of Applied Econometrics 29 (3), pp. 497-514.
7. [7] The importance of Ukraine and the Russian Federation for global agricultural markets and the risks associated with the war in Ukraine 10 June 2022 Update – URL: https://www.fao.org/3/cb9013en/cb9013en.pdf
8. [8] Baffes, J., and A. Kabundi. 2022. “Commodity Price Shocks: Order Within Chaos.” Policy Research Working 9792, pp. 108-111, World Bank, Washington, DC.
9. [9] ASPIRE: The Atlas of Social Protection Indicators of Resilience an Equity. The World Bank. Accessed on 9 March 2022. URL: https://www.worldbank.org/en/data/datatopics/aspire
10. [10] World Bank. 2022. Global Economic Prospects. September. pp. 98, Washington, DC: World Bank
11. [11] Ministrul agriculturii din Ucraina: România, prin portul Constanța, este un partener strategic pentru exporturile noastre” – Revista presei 21 – 22 martie 2022 Port Constanta 22.03.2022. URL: https://portbusiness.ro/ministrul-agriculturii-din-ucraina-romania-prin-portul-constanta-este-un-partener-strategic-pentru-exporturile-noastre-revista-presei-21-22-martie-2022/
12. [12] Profit.ro: “Ucraina ia în considerare să reia exportul de cereale pe calea ferată prin Republica Moldova și România”, URL: https://www.profit.ro/povesti-cu-profit/vecini/ucraina-ia-in-considerare-sa-reia-exportul-de-cereale-pe-calea-ferata-prin-republica-moldova-si-romania-20645600